Bear Mountain Capital Inc.

Jobs Report – Bad? Good?

| October 8, 2010

At first glance, today’s jobs report looks bleak. In total 95,000 workers lost their jobs in September. Governments cut about 159,000 jobs. While businesses added 64,000 jobs. Netting out to the 95,000 job loss number. However, this means we are heading in the right direction, albeit slowly. Less government jobs, m…eans governments are cutting spending and trying to address looming deficits. More private jobs, means business activity is maintaining momentum…

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Credit Quality De-Mystified

| October 7, 2010

A very good read on fixed income (bond) mutual fund credit qualities… a little hard to believe it took Morningstar this long to update and publish credit quality ratings in this manner. As the article points out, the previous system was based on simple averaging of credit qualities in the portfolio, assuming a linear relationship i n default rates. Well, default rates go up in a non-linear fashion, when credit…

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Debt

| October 7, 2010

Debt is a BIG issue.  Its a big issue for the global economy.  Its a big issue for our US domestic economy. It is a big issue for individual consumers… you could easily show a correlation between a countries debt and the personal debt of its citizens. Notice how it is the “developed” economies of the US, Japan, Australia and Europe with the highest concentrations of debt? (Click on link to…

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Productivity Gains Ahead?

| September 24, 2010

People have said the “internet age” is over… implying, in some cases, that the bulk of the productivity gains associated with the advance of the internet is behind us.  I disagree with this assumption, in that the continued evolution of hardware, software, but more importantly, social behavior (how people leverage this network) will continue to fuel a productivity surge over the coming years that easily puts the bulk of productivity…

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Key Technology Partners

| September 23, 2010

When I started this company last year, I carefully evaluated the custodians and software vendors that I thought would add the most value to my clients experience.  Fidelity stood out amongst the custodians as the most service oriented, cost-efficient, flexible and technologically oriented partner I could find.  It was an easy choice. The performance and portfolio management solutions I was looking for, was a more difficult search, until I discovered…

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America’s Unemployment Rate

| August 26, 2010

Excellent observation article by The Economist regarding the nature of the US unemployed. Points to the fact that high unemployment can be a function of structural issues facing labor markets, not only lack of demand on behalf of employers. This calls into question the use of further stimulus to lower unemployment rates. (Click here to read article)

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Leading Economic Indicators Point to Slower Growth – Not Double Dip (Yet)

| August 25, 2010

I’m posting a link to a timely piece put out by Fidelity Management & Research Co.  It assesses the various contributions to Real GDP Growth by determining if growth was driven by personal consumption, business investment, net exports, etc. and what the trend has been over previous quarters. It also spends some time looking at what economists call the LEI’s (Leading Economic Indicators).  These indicators are often used to asses…

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The “Basics”?

| August 24, 2010

How many people out there, feel they don’t understand the “basics” of investing?  Even the word “basic” is elusive to most.  By “basic” I mean do you understand some of the following concepts: risk vs. reward growth investments vs. income investments definitions of terms like equity, bond, interest, dividend, mutual fund, index fund, exchange traded fund, etc. diversification vs. correlation vs. asset allocation My sense, is most have heard the…

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Good Counter-Perspective to Previous Post on Germany’s Growth vs. America’s Growth

| August 13, 2010

(Click here to read article)

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Europe’s Recent Growth Numbers – Positive?

| August 13, 2010

Great article about Germany, the European Union’s most industrious member, and their recent GDP numbers… growth for the country was 2.2% for Q2 (annualized rate of 9%), according to The Economist.  These numbers seem surprising given the regions recent sovereign debt crisis, but as the article highlight, Germany’s ability to export its prized “highly-engineered” products, seems to be helping the entire region. (Click here to read article)

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