Household Debt – How Bad Is It?

By Joe Day

The primary drag on economic recovery is the sheer size of US household debt.  It will take many years to bring the averages down.  The following excerpt tells us a lot: “From 1952 to 1979, the average ratio of household debt to gross disposable income was 57%, but over the past three decades the averages steadily, and then dramatically, climbed… Read more


Growing Pains

By Joe Day

Despite the negative economic outlook by the Fed on US and global growth, as well as the concerns in Europe regarding sovereign defaults, US leading economic indicators actually rose last month.  The primary reason is due to an increase in the money supply, because consumers are reserving their cash, keeping it in bank accounts.  This is a long-term positive, because… Read more


Budget Deals and Debt Limits

By Joe Day

A budget deal and an increase in the debt limit. Both need to happen. The question is what is the time-frame and is it credible? The longer the country waits for a solution, the more volatile US treasuries and the equity markets become. The one thing the markets do not like more then anything else, is uncertainty. (Click here to… Read more


Deficit to GDP

By Joe Day

In emerging markets, a deficit greater then 4% of GDP is high. While a developed economy has more consistent revenues and a more diversified economy, a deficit to GDP ratio of 10% is detrimental to growth.  MAJOR deficit reduction initiatives must be enacted to meet this short-fall.  If last week’s budget battle was an indication, its going to be rough-riding… Read more


The Federal Reserve Discount Window

By Joe Day

The level of global financial market integration is truly underestimated by most investors: “Overseas banks accounted for about 70 percent of discount window loans when borrowing reached its peak of $113.7 billion in October 2008, according to the Fed’s data. The discount window, established in 1914, is known as the lender of last resort.” (Click here to read Bloomberg.com article)


 

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bio3Joe Day, CFA is the Founder of Bear Mountain Capital. Joe started the company after spending many years advising high net worth clients with a leading global wealth management firm. Joe earned the right to use the CFA designation from the CFA Institute in 2011. He also holds a degree in Business Administration, with a Major in Finance from Gonzaga University.

Luke Collova is an Investment Advisor Representative for Bear Mountain Capital focusing on planning, investment strategy, client development and operational support. Luke’s prior career included providing commercial insurance coverage for a global insurance firm. Luke maintains his Series 65 license and holds a degree in Business Administration, with an emphasis on Finance and International Business from the University of Puget Sound.